9 JUlY 2024

Newsletter 24

Hospitals as a backbone of Ukrainian resilience

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WARTIME REFORMS AND INSTITUTIONS. KEY ACTORS.

On July 8, Russia launched a series of attacks on Ukrainian cities, including Kyiv, Dnipro, Kryvyi Rih, Sloviansk, and Kramatorsk. The special feature of these 2 simultaneous attacks was the targeting of two hospitals in the center of Kyiv: the Okhmatdyt Children’s Hospital, destroyed by an X-101/555 cruise missile, and a private maternity hospital on the Left Bank striken by an Iskander missile.

Hospitals as irreplaceable critical infrastructure:

Targeting children-focused hospital infrastructure may have two main objectives:

  • Destabilizing Ukrainian society: Following the attacks, some Ukrainian commercial influencers (Yulia Verba, Vlada Rogovenko, Julia Tenkaieva) blamed the government in Kyiv for the attacks, urging for negotiations an end to the war “at any cost.” The three produced the same message, at the same time, using similar phrases. While the anti-government sentiment has not been replicated by any respectable political bloggers or journalists, it illustrates a trend how collective anger and anguish can be exploited to drive a wedge within Ukrainian society, to erode social morale and cohesion, capitalizing on potential public fatigue and frustration. This messaging weakens public trust in Ukrainian leadership and sows discord within the population, creating fertile ground for further Russian manipulation.
  • Triggering emigration flow: Russia’s destruction of hospitals has the same logic as that of energy infrastructure and goes beyond immediate damage: it disrupts the ability of Ukrainian cities, even far from the front lines, to function and provide basic services. Infrastructure destruction can send a new wave of Ukrainian refugees to Europe in the fall, as living conditions worsen, placing a strain on both Ukrainian and European economies and undermining European public support to Ukraine. Furthermore, while energy generation can be decentralized and partly replaced by private generators, hospitals cannot be easily replaced.

Overall, Russia’s attacks on civilian targets, particularly a children’s hospital, represent a barbaric escalation of the conflict. These actions aim to break the Ukrainian resolve through fear and despair.

Source: libkos

Unbroken – A Rehabilitation System In A Public Hospital

In Ukraine, a hospital is more than a place for providing healthcare. Its role is evolving into a social partner and a system of support and rehabilitation from the war. Today. we want to talk about the Unbroken health center we visited in April, during Eastern Circles study trip to Ukraine, with a group of our Media Fellows – experienced French journalists – with a goal of sharpening our understanding of the processes and changes taking place in Ukrainian society during the war.

The first place we went to on Monday morning was “Unbroken” hospital in Lviv. As our cab approached the hospital, we were surprised with what we saw. Twice. The first glimpse of the main building revealed an old façade of a multi-story, soviet-style, shabby-looking, L-shaped grey-brown concrete structure, which looked unimpressive to say the least. Where is the modern healthcare center we have heard and read about so much?

When we entered it was all inside: renewed buildings, equipment, and a totally new concept from a basic-care hospital it was 4 years ago, before the arrival of the new management. In those four years, Unbroken transformed into Ukraine’s national rehabilitation center, the largest medical complex, a leader in transplantation and cardio surgery.

“We have half a million patients: about 129,000 internally displaced patients, about 15,000 patients with mine-blast trauma. Because this war is a modern war, because it involves drone reconnaissance and the use of heavy artillery, most of the injuries are mine-blast trauma with amputation of lower limbs and less often upper limbs.”

Even before February 2022, Unbroken has started working on prosthetics and developing rehabilitation services. But they had to expand their activities and learn new skills when they started receiving thousands of patients in the first months of war in evacuation trains with heavy injuries at unprecedented scale. Good contacts with Western hospitals allowed to forward some of the heavily injured to Europe. But partners reached capacity a couple of months into the full-scale invasion.

“We were looking for more premises from the start, to help people,” says during a meeting with our group Unbroken Deputy Director Volodymyr Fedoriv. “It was cooperation with the Lviv city mayor which led to the decision to build a powerful rehabilitation center on the basis of the First Territorial Medical Association to provide a full cycle of necessary medical care. This is how Unbroken was born.”

Besides, the principles of treating a combat injury are fundamentally different from the principles of treating an injury sustained in everyday life. To learn how to treat war injuries, Unbroken rehabilitation center partnered with hospitals across Europe and the US to develop training programs for its staff and doctors from other Ukrainian hospitals in a full spectrum of care, turning a medical association into a powerful medical and training hub with unique experience.

“We have gained experience from the world, and we gain experimental experience, and the doors of our hospital are open for any surgeon, any traumatologist, reconstructive surgeon, rehabilitation specialist, prosthetist from Ukraine to adopt the experience we have already gained.”

Over the last 2.5 years it has become a comprehensive rehabilitation healthcare system, consisting of 2 hospitals, 1 children’s hospital, 2 maternity hospitals, and 2 rehabilitation centers – altogether employing 4500 medical personnel. Within this system, each specialized hospital has its own rehabilitation department: “Each of our hospitals has rehabilitation departments. St Luke’s has a separate rehabilitation department for children’s and children’s rehabilitation units,” explains Oleg Bilyanskyi, Head of Unbroken Rehabilitation Center. Furthermore, psychologists and psychiatrists are crucial in the rehabilitation process, working with patients from prosthetists, physiotherapists, general surgery, reconstructive surgery, neurosurgery, traumatology, cardio-vascular and other departments. The same methodology of comprehensive approach to rehabilitation is applied across different services.

Rehabilitation starts with an inspection and diagnostics of an incoming patient by a cross-sector team of doctors, who then map out different stages of treatment, including psychological, neuropsychological, physical, reconstructive surgery, prosthetics, lost vision rehabilitation, for example. Each type of rehabilitation will have a dedicated team, members of which will work with different patients in a cross-discipline rehabilitation team. The patient is at the center of the system, and the goal of each team is to reach the highest quality of life for each patient.

Psychological rehabilitation runs through all parts of this system. The areas of expertise by specialized doctors in Unbroken psychiatric center differ from child psychology to working with victims of rape (most of them men coming out of Russian occupation or captivity, in addition to numerous women and children), with people who lost their limbs, people brain damage due to multiple contusions, to people who look whole from the outside, yet carry bleeding scars on the inside. PTSD is a red thread running through the various types of psychological trauma inflicted by war. Thus, “when a woman whose face was blown off by an explosion or destroyed in a fire comes to the hospital, it is not just about reconstructive surgery and putting something in place of a face. It’s about working with her all through the process, so she does not kill herself after looking into a mirror at home after she is discharged,” says the Head of Unbroken Psychiatry Department Ulyana Bereznyak.

How long a rehabilitation may take depends on every individual and his or her family, and their acceptance levels of this new situation. Some patients can be discharged from the hospital after 14 days of rehabilitation treatment with major improvement, and those who have to stay up to one year with slow and patched progress. Some patients need repeated stages of rehabilitation, with work for decades, if not more, after the war, as physical functions degrade or psychological treatment reaches its limits. To prepare for the future, based on the recent experience, Unbroken is forming institutions for training, response planning, and anticipation of complications up to a year in advance.

Unbroken Rehabilitation Center is registered as an NGO. 80% of its funding come from the state authorities and from Lviv city. Among the state actors, the Ministry of Social Policy is the most important for their rehabilitation program. The remaining 20% of funds came from donations by over a thousand partners, including cities (Freiburg, Warsaw, etc.), private companies (e.g., Ikea) and NGOs (e.g., Red Cross) assisting war victims.

Source: Unbroken social networks

Prosthetics

There are two types of prostheses: mechanical, more suitable for basic tasks like picking up, carrying objects, while bionic, also called biomimetic, or post-integration prosthetics are more appropriate for precision movements and allows patients to feel surfaces and manipulate objects. Post-integration prosthetics are actively developing in Ukraine, including within Ubroken, which the war has led to becoming a national leader in transplantation, with emphasis on oseo-integrated prosthetics:

“What made us unique was that we supplied more than 30 bionic upper limb prostheses. Bionic prostheses are a high-tech product that scans muscle impulses and converts these impulses into bionic prostheses. These bionic prostheses scan muscles and convert them into bionic prostheses,” explains Fedoriv.

Since early 2022, Unbroken installed 500 mechanical and over 30 bionic prosthetics.

In addition to partnering with countries with most advanced prosthetics expertise, like America, Germany and Denmark, Ukrainian native production is emerging. One of Unbroken suppliers is Esperbionics, a Ukrainian start-up making biomimetic prosthesis, with good reviews from patients at much lower prices than a same-quality foreign products.

Source: Eastern Circles

Who pays for prosthetics in Ukraine

A state program by the Ministry of Social Policy has developed a powerful structure of compensation for prosthetics covering the cost of good quality mechanical prosthetics (8 000 euros on average). The state does not cover a biological prosthesis however (which average 30 000 euros per unit), and Unbroken tries to help by organizing fundraisers with partner foundations to help families find the money. Ukrainian NGOs, such as Dobro.UA, fundraise for prostheses.

The Unbroken rehabilitation center houses a small in-house prosthetics manufacturing lab and with the help of Lviv city opened a new factory in May, with production capacity of over 1000 prosthetics a year. The focus of the new factory is on training and manufacturing of components with 3D printing. Unbroken is currently raising funds for 3D metal printers.

This growth happened from a low start, as before the war the hospital which has become Unbroken had no focus on prosthetics, and Ukraine as a whole had a couple of dozen specialists, and only few upper limb prosthetics doctors. Medical schools did not have specialized departments either. Today, after the country’s healthcare system confronted the war-scale demand to treat thousands of patients with lost limbs, medical schools opened a specialty in the sector, increasing the number of graduates in this discipline and requalification training programs for practicing doctors. Now Unbroken alone employs 14 prosthetic specialists and an experimental team that knows how to work with combat injuries. Unbroken has also set up international partnerships with foreign hospitals in the USA, Denmark, Germany and France, among others, who accepted to train Ukrainian doctors abroad and send their experts to Ukrainians at home.

The way Unbroken administration sees their mission today is to create programs to train more prosthetic specialists across the country, turning their hospital into an expertise and training hub for other doctors across Ukraine.

Due to the scale and intensity of the war, the demand for prosthetics remains overwhelmingly higher than supply, and it is growing across the country, with long waiting times due to limited manufacturing capacity and funding remaining key challenges for patients.

“As of today, even the satisfactory rehabilitation needs are not yet met. The number of civilian patients, of civilian injuries from the war, is quite high,” concludes Oleh Bilyanskyi.

Source: Unbroken social networks

Challenges

Among the main challenges, like in other hospitals across the country, are personnel shortage, stretched education system, struggling to meet the spiking demand for specialists, increased workload for doctors who face higher work and academic loads with fewer specialists. They cope with earlier and more active medical student involvement in rehabilitation work and training more doctors.

The Unbroken rehabilitation center houses a small in-house prosthetics manufacturing lab and with the help of Lviv city opened a new factory in May, with production capacity of over 1000 prosthetics a year. The focus of the new factory is on training and manufacturing of components with 3D printing. Unbroken is currently raising funds for 3D metal printers.

This growth happened from a low start, as before the war the hospital which has become Unbroken had no focus on prosthetics, and Ukraine as a whole had a couple of dozen specialists, and only few upper limb prosthetics doctors. Medical schools did not have specialized departments either. Today, after the country’s healthcare system confronted the war-scale demand to treat thousands of patients with lost limbs, medical schools opened a specialty in the sector, increasing the number of graduates in this discipline and requalification training programs for practicing doctors. Now Unbroken alone employs 14 prosthetic specialists and an experimental team that knows how to work with combat injuries. Unbroken has also set up international partnerships with foreign hospitals in the USA, Denmark, Germany and France, among others, who accepted to train Ukrainian doctors abroad and send their experts to Ukrainians at home.

The way Unbroken administration sees their mission today is to create programs to train more prosthetic specialists across the country, turning their hospital into an expertise and training hub for other doctors across Ukraine.

Due to the scale and intensity of the war, the demand for prosthetics remains overwhelmingly higher than supply, and it is growing across the country, with long waiting times due to limited manufacturing capacity and funding remaining key challenges for patients.

“As of today, even the satisfactory rehabilitation needs are not yet met. The number of civilian patients, of civilian injuries from the war, is quite high,” concludes Oleh Bilyanskyi.

Ministerial ousting: a strategy or a strategic mistake

The spring and summer of 2024 have been marked by elite rotation in Ukraine: the removal of National Security and Defence Council Secretary Oleksiy Danilov in March, of the Minister of Reconstruction Oleksandr Kubrakov in June, followed by a resignation by Deputy Minister of Infrastructure Mustafa Naem. Zelenskiy’s team has launched a major reset, starting from the dismissal of Valeriy Zaluzhnyi as Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces and of Oleksiy Reznikov as the Minister of Defense. What can it mean for Ukraine’s future direction and its relations with Western partners?

Elite rotation in times of war risks undermining institutional performance and the trust of society and international partners. An example of the latter was an emotional reaction of European diplomats to Kubrakov’s removal and Naem’s resignation right before the Reconstruction Summit in Berlin in June, effectively decapitating the Ukrainian negotiations team. Wartime rotations by leaders from Napoleon to Lincoln reinforced inside competition and rivalries, hindering teamwork and cooperation during critical campaigns. Moreover, officers and officials who depart too soon into a war take with them crucial experience, which can weaken performance of the leadership team as a whole. Politically, rotation strategy has a virtue of removing potential opponents, bringing new people and creating high uncertainty that deprives some elites of access to previously received benefits.

Ukraine is navigating between these two realities at a time, due to a trend emerging where high-level political appointments in Ukraine are heavily influenced by personal connections to President Zelenskiy, potentially leading to overreliance on inner circle familiarity, individual performance, and charisma in choice of new leaders over the understanding of institutions and expertise. To better understand the situation, let’s analyse the replacement of the Minister of Reconstruction of Ukraine Oleksandr Kubrakov.

Source: strana.ua

Oleksandr Kubrakov was known as Zelensky’s trusted “manager” having proved himself as Minister of Infrastructure (2021) and Vice Prime Minister for the Restoration of Ukraine – Minister of Development of Communities, Territories and Infrastructure (from December 1, 2022 to May 2024). Zelensky appreciated Kubrakov’s performance and wartime agility: in early 2022, Kubrakov established logistics and supply of fuel, weapons, and humanitarian aid; found alternative ways to export agricultural products after Russia withdrew from the grain deal; unblocked freight traffic on the border with Poland during the truckers’ protests; worked closely with Western partners, especially the United States, to attract targeted loans and grants for Ukraine’s reconstruction projects.

In May 2024, Oleksandr Kubrakov was dismissed. Absent an official explanation, media interpretations of his departure include insufficient performance of the Reconstruction Ministry, corruption scandals around it, Kubrakov’s too close ties to American donors, and a conflict with the President’s office.

One immediate result of his dismissal are broken trust with international donors, who arrived to Berlin Reconstruction Conference and did not found a competent negotiator at their level. The other is a “nullification” of two Reconstruction Ministry funds (the Road Fund and the Fund for Elimination of the Consequences of Armed Aggression), followed by a redistribution of the money between two other ministries: of Economy and of Strategic Industry, who received an addition of 29 Bn UAH (650 million euros) and 49 Bn UAH (1.2Bn euros) each to their budgets from the cancelled funds of the Ministry of Reconstruction. Thus, the second result of Kubrakov’s dismissal is prioritizing of the military-industrial complex (MinStratProm) and of the economy and a consequtive strengthening of the figures of Oleksandr Kamyshyn (Minister of Strategic Industries) and Yulia Svyrydenko (MinEcon).

International Cooperation with Ukraine

June - a month of summits and bilateral agreements:

  • The Global Peace Summit was held in Switzerland on June 15-16, with over 90 countries and international organizations participating and 82 countries signing the Peace Summit’s communique on nuclear security, food security, the exchange of all prisoners of war, and the return of all imprisoned civilians (Albania; Andorra; Antigua and Barbuda; Argentina; Australia; Austria; Barbados; Belgium; Benin; Bosnia and Herzegovina; Bulgaria; Cape Verde; Canada; Chile; Comoros; Costa Rica; Côte d’Ivoire; Guyana; Croatia; Cyprus; Czech Republic; Denmark; Dominican Republic; Ecuador; Estonia; Micronesia; Fiji; Finland; France; Gambia; Georgia; Germany; Ghana; Greece; Guatemala; Hungary; Poland; Iceland; Ireland; Israel; Italy; Japan; Kenya; Tonga; Kosovo; Latvia; Liberia; Liechtenstein; Lithuania; Luxembourg; Malta; Moldova; Monaco; Montenegro; Netherlands; New Zealand; North Macedonia; Norway; Palau; Peru; Philippines; Poland; Portugal; Qatar; Republic of Korea; Malawi; Marshall Islands; Romania; San Marino; Sao Tome and Principe; Serbia; Singapore; Slovakia; Slovenia; Somalia; Spain; Suriname; Sweden; Switzerland; Timor-Leste; Turkey; Ukraine; United Kingdom) and six international organizations also signed the communique: the Council of Europe, European Commission, European Council, European Parliament, and the Organization of American States.

  • Albeit the Peace Summit made an impression of a diplomatic exercise, its objectives remained unclear, and its outcomes were criticized as insufficient – none of the BRICS countries has endorsed the communique, Ukraine MFA’s “target” of gather over 100 state leaders at the summit was not achieved, and the U.S. president Joe Biden sent his VP Kamela Harris instead of himself, albeit he was in Europe in the same period for a G-7 summit – other high-level meetings in June preceding the Peace Summit have yielded the financial and diplomatic support Ukraine has been looking for, resulting in an overall diplomatic victory for Kyiv over Moscow. Against this backdrop, the Peace Summit turned into a piece in a larger puzzle, and yet another headline which allowed Ukraine to dominate the media space from May to July.

  • Thus, Ukraine scored a major victory at G-7 summit, where Zelensky was a special guest where international leaders have committed to transfer $50 billion to Kyiv from the proceeds of the frozen Russian sovereign assets in the West (Saudi Arabia has already warned of financial consequences it will cause to the EU if G-7 follows up on the decision, so the execution needs to be followed closely).

  • G-7 summit was preceded by a set of bilateral meetings between Zelensky and the presidents of the U.S. and of France during the Normandy landing anniversary celebration in France on June 6-9, where the president of Ukraine was invited instead of Vladimir Putin, in yet another diplomatic snub to Moscow, and spent hours in bilateral meetings with Macron and Biden.

  • Furthermore, by June Ukraine has signed 20 security agreements with allies, including the EU and the U.S., according to which partners plan to provide Ukraine with total military support of $60 billion annually over the next 4 years.

  • Bilateral agreeements:
  1. Ukraine and the U.S. signed an agreement that will allow Kyiv to receive almost $7.9 billion in financial support this year.
  2. An agreement between Ukraine and the EU asserts financing under the Ukraine Facility for the next 4 years, of which €1.9 billion have been received under this program.
  3. The IMF Board of Directors meeting on Ukraine on June 28 resulted in a $2.2 billion loan.
  4. A 21st security agreement with Poland since early 2024 covered a broad range of political, military and economic support, and bilateral cooperation in case of a future threat of aggression. It provide several packages of military assistance by the end of 2024 and to continue such support for 10 years of the agreement. Warsaw will also consider providing Ukraine with at least an additional MiG-29 squadron (at least 14 fighters). It has become a first bilateral security agreement which provides for the possibility of intercepting missiles and drones in the airspace of Ukraine country fired in the direction of Poland. In addition, the bilateral document for the first time provides for the creation of a “Ukrainian Legion” within which personnel of the Ukrainian security and defense forces will be trained in Poland.
  • The agreements above, with the EU, the IMF, U.S., the World Bank, G7 countries, and individual allies have provided Kyiv with budget visibility for 2024-25.

Ukraine Recovery Conference:

Despite the absence of key Ukraine negotiations, the conference concluded with the signing of 110 international agreements and the commitment of €16 billion assistance as a result of the Berlin conference on June 11-12:

  • A number of energy companies committed to help build 1 GW of generating capacity in Ukraine, with total potential investment 500-700 million euros.
  • 1.4 billion euros grant agreements under the investment component of the Ukraine Facility program.
  • 824 million U.S. dollars within the US Energy Assistance Package.
  • 7 billion euros committed under the launch of the SME Resilience Alliance for Ukraine by Germany.
  • 700 million euros for the Skills Alliance retraining program by the EU.
  • 35 million U.S. dollars of additional funding for humanitarian land demining.
  • 14 business agreements signed by Ukrainian and international business partners for over 560 million euros investment.
  • 350 million U.S. dollars risk insurance agreements.

Ukraine’s Ministry of Economy presented the Investment Guide, which includes 95 investment projects requiring about $27 billion of U.S. dollars in financing. It also presented a European integration documents, including the SME Development Strategy and the National Energy and Climate Plan.

The Business Advisory Council was also launched to help improve the investment climate in Ukraine. It includes almost two dozen CEOs of leading global companies and business associations from different countries.

  • Kyiv’s June diplomacy was crowned with Ukraine’s official start of the E.U. accession negotiations on June 26, with bilateral meetings with the Commission on the alignment of Ukraine’s and the EU legislation following in July.

Military Aid For Ukraine March-May 2024

The U.S. military assistance package: a farewell prize?

The biggest news of this spring was the U.S. allocation of the $61 billion military aid to Ukraine. A closer look at the main priorities of this package are outlined in the Ukraine Security Supplemental Appropriations Act of 2024, and are directed toward the development of the U.S. military industry in the U.S. and the support of American forces in Europe, with 42% of the total going toward weapons and ammunition supplies to Ukraine.

1) Top priority is the transfer of weapons and ammunition ($25.7Bn), either from the existing US stockpiles under the presidential drawdown authority, through grants and loans to Ukraine and its allies for buying U.S. weapons, or through the direct funding for ramping up U.S. production of weapons and ammunition.

2) The second most important item is training and intelligence ($17Bn).

3) A structural loan (not a grant) for financial support of Ukraine’s essential government services, like law enforcement ($7.9Bn).

4) O&M cost of the U.S. military forces in Europe ($7.3Bn).

5) Humanitarian aid ($1.6Bn), which includes Europe, Eurasia, Central Asia, and support for Ukrainian refugees in the U.S..

International support for Ukraine continues to grow in both scale and diversity, reflecting a continued commitment by allies:

The following trends emerge from recent aid packages:

Significant contributions from major allies:

  • Germany leads with a substantial €28 billion package, providing a wide range of military equipment and support.
  • The United States continue to play a pivotal role, with multiple aid packages already received totaling over $1.275 billion from April to May, including precision strike rockets, artillery rounds, air defense systems, and tactical vehicles.

Focus on immediate defense needs:

  • Many countries, including Spain, Denmark, Australia, and France, are supplying specific military equipment such as tanks, missiles, artillery, and speedboats to address Ukraine’s immediate battlefield requirements.
  • Lithuania and Latvia are providing targeted aid with reconnaissance drones and anti-aircraft systems to enhance tactical operations.

Emphasis on air defense and artillery:

  • France and Italy are supplying advanced air defense systems like the SAMP/T and Aster missiles to protect Ukrainian airspace.
  • Belgium, Canada, and Denmark are contributing significantly to artillery and air defense munitions, ensuring sustained firepower.

Support for domestic production and maintenance:

  • Other aid focuses on enabling Ukraine to build and maintain its own defense infrastructure. Denmark’s “ZBROYARI: Manufacturing Freedom” project and Belgium’s funding for F-16 maintenance are examples of such initiatives.

Humanitarian and economic aid:

  • Alongside military support, humanitarian aid and economic support continue to flow, with Finland and Kosovo contributing to broader efforts including soldier rehabilitation and civilian support.

Long-term Strategic Assistance:

  • Sweden and South Korea have committed significant long-term support, with $7.01 billion and $2.3 billion respectively, aimed at sustaining Ukraine’s defense capabilities over several years.

Overall, the aid packages reflect a comprehensive approach to supporting Ukraine, blending immediate military needs with long-term strategic assistance and domestic capacity building. The trend is for international allies to increasingly focus on not just meeting Ukraine’s current defense needs, but also ensuring its future security and stability.

This newsletter was prepared by Daryna-Maryna Patiuk.

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